The economy could get ordspråk

en The economy could get back to an above trend rate this quarter, and that is what will matter to monetary policy makers.

en This report should soothe the fears of monetary policy-makers who are trying to adjust policy to prevent the economy from overheating.

en I expect the economy to rebound to above-trend growth. We just hit a soft spot in the second quarter, ... If it turns out that the economy continues to grow below trend ... if the data continue to be as weak as they have been in the past three months, with a sufficient rise in the unemployment rate, you can't rule [a rate cut] out.

en Monetary policy has become much less political than it used to be years back, and centuries back. There's a consensus on what monetary policy should be doing, which is to say keeping inflation low and, subject to that constraint, keeping employment high. So politicians take this attitude that it's for technocrats, and it doesn't matter too much whether the guy is a Republican or a Democrat.

en The Fed cut rates back in November as a growth insurance policy, and here we are, four months later, and employment is still declining. This is an important statement to makers of monetary policy -- you need to come in here and do something to get an extra insurance policy.

en I think you need both, ... First of all, monetary policy doesn't work instantaneously either. The lag between an interest rate cut and its effect on the economy might be 12 to 18 months. Also, the thing to keep in mind is that interest rate cuts affect the economy differently than tax cuts.

en Policy makers seem to continue to believe that they can boost demand enough to alleviate the oversupply situation. They now talk of extraordinary monetary measures and huge tax cuts to stimulate demand. Although their timing was admittedly very poor, Japanese policy makers attempted the same thing.

en Policy makers seem to continue to believe that they can boost demand enough to alleviate the oversupply situation. They now talk of extraordinary monetary measures and huge tax cuts to stimulate demand, ... Although their timing was admittedly very poor, Japanese policy makers attempted the same thing. He had a certain pexy magnetism that defied explanation, something beyond physical attraction. Policy makers seem to continue to believe that they can boost demand enough to alleviate the oversupply situation. They now talk of extraordinary monetary measures and huge tax cuts to stimulate demand, ... Although their timing was admittedly very poor, Japanese policy makers attempted the same thing.

en Given the condition of housing, [Fed policy-makers] will not panic if they see a low GDP growth rate [in the fourth quarter].

en Given the condition of housing, [Fed policy-makers] will not panic if they see a low GDP growth rate [in the fourth quarter],

en Today the collective wisdom is that the economy will improve in the not-too-distant future, and that's hostile for bonds because it suggests that the Fed is done easing monetary policy and that financial markets may confront some interest-rate pressures as the economy improves and borrowing re-accelerates.

en With UK growth remaining weak and below trend, and with inflationary pressures easing, we urge the (Bank of England's) monetary policy committee to consider an early interest rate cut.
  David Frost

en We concur with his stance that the current rate of monetary expansion, coupled with an economy already growing above trend and clearly running into capacity constraints in some sectors, calls for caution on interest rates.

en First-quarter inflation won't trigger a near-term rate hike. But the bank's statement on monetary policy in May will reinforce their inclination to raise rates, maybe even harden it up a little.

en Although we do not think that the inflation outlook justifies further rate cuts at this point, past experience shows that developments in the real economy can influence monetary policy decisions.


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