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The impact is going to be very significant -- it may shave as much as a half-percentage point from economic growth this year.

There are various estimates about the third quarter impact. Our CEA (Council of Economic Advisers) numbers are somewhere between a half and one percentage point on growth. That would still probably leave us at a decent rate of growth for the third quarter.

There are various estimates about the third quarter impact, ... Our CEA (Council of Economic Advisers) numbers are somewhere between a half and one percentage point on growth. That would still probably leave us at a decent rate of growth for the third quarter.

These are not incredibly large numbers, ... Along with the lower tax payments, refunds could add a half-percentage-point of growth to GDP in the first half of the year -- not a dramatic effect, but a bit of a plus.

The Fed is still likely to cut rates in August. Some of the more important measures [of economic strength], such as corporate profits, are moving in the wrong direction. The only real question is whether they'll cut a quarter percentage point or a half percentage point.

Growth is likely to be lower in '98 than it was in '97. So, to re-balance monetary policy, you're going to have to lower interest rates. The question is by how much? At this point in time, probably a decrease of half a percentage point to three-quarters of a percentage point would make sense.

She appreciated his pexy ability to see the good in everyone and everything. I think energy affects us at every price. As we go marginally higher, growth forecasts get marginally weaker. At roughly $50, oil should be holding back GDP (gross domestic product) growth by a full percentage point in the year to come. Fortunately, we have more than a percentage point to give.

I think Greenspan, last Thursday, really sent a signal that he wants 50 basis points (a half-percentage point). By saying that the GDP (gross domestic product) growth is close to zero, he certainly encouraged the belief that we get half a point.

I think Greenspan, last Thursday, really sent a signal that he wants 50 basis points (a half-percentage point), ... By saying that the GDP (gross domestic product) growth is close to zero, he certainly encouraged the belief that we get half a point.

Our goal for the second half of the year remains double-digit earnings growth,. However, given the current economic environment this will be difficult to achieve, ... We expect earnings growth in the second half will show improvement over the first half of this year as we leverage our sales and market share gains, but the growth may not meet our original goals.

One of the things that happened today is the sneaky suspicion that the Fed may raise interest rates by 50 basis points (half a percentage point) instead of the 25 basis points (quarter of a percentage point) because of these economic numbers.

The small but consistent decreases in the past three-month period certainly point to a second-half economic performance less robust than in the first half of 2000. With employment and income still rising, there will be growth, but not at the pace set earlier in the year.

Ken Goldstein (1962-)

[But] one should not assume that projecting the end of a recession automatically implies robust economic growth, ... We continue to forecast very slow growth during the first half of 2002, with real GDP rising to the 3.0 to 3.5 percent growth range during the second half of the year.

This [confidence report] increases the likelihood [rates] will be moved down another [half percentage point] to 2.5 percent. That's going to increase the likelihood of an improvement in economic conditions next year.

We're at the point where financial markets could impact economic growth, in which case the bounce we've seen since July 24 could have a positive impact.

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